UPDATE:
The Winnipeg Jets 5th 10 game segment –
Eleven every ten
My theory is that if you can garner a minimum of eleven points in every ten game segment (on average) and win those two extra games you should be in the playoffs (92 points) or be in the hunt on the last weekend of the season. The team would have ninety-two points. In 2013-14 the Dallas Stars grabbed the last playoff spot with 91 points.
The original article explaining my theory can be seen here.
Winnipeg Jets: Slow and Steady Should Do It
Segment 5
Before starting Segment 5, the Winnipeg Jets lost “extra game #1” so they received a minus 2 rating in that column, not the end of the world but it would have been nice to get that win.
The Jets started out the 5th segment with points in their first 7 games and had already reached their 11 point minimum just before the All-Star break. THEN, the Jets laid 2 eggs on their trip to Pennsylvania and lost a penalty filled home game to the Dallas Stars. They finished the segment 6-3-1 and still banked 2 points in the +/- column.
Losing the final 3 games of this segment sure got the locals attention, but it wasn’t so much the losing, it was more about the way they lost. Sloppy neutral zone play, poor gap control, less than stellar goaltending, seemingly abandoning their system and penalty after penalty were major causes for concern. The Winnipeg Jets PK gave up 7 goals in 13 chances in this stretch … nuff said.
The Winnipeg Jets start segment 6 with 2 big road games versus the Calgary Flames and Vancouver Canucks then return home for 2 divisional games against the Chicago Blackhawks and Colorado Avalanche. Winnipeg Jets fans are really hoping that the team can get back on track before this gets away from them. It’s not quite panic time yet but I’d say it’s reached DEFCON 3. Buckle up!
The Jets are still on pace for approximately 96 points.
As of January 31, 2015
Segment 1
The Winnipeg Jets first ten game segment wasn’t looking very good but with two wins and a shootout loss in the final three games of the first segment they actually salvaged that segment by finishing 4-5-1 for 9 points. Based on looking at eleven points per segment on average, they only missed by two.
Segment 2
The Winnipeg Jets second 10 game segment finished up on Tuesday night versus the New Jersey Devils with a 3-1 victory giving them 14 points in this segment.
They met my 11 point quota and made up the lost 2 points in segment 1 and have 1 more point in the bank. There are going to be ups and there are going to be downs all season but if they can average 11 points …….. could be playoffs !!!
I have designated game #41 and game #82 as the two extra games. I will continue to chart and update the Winnipeg Jets in 10 game segments all year.
Segment 3
The Jets third segment ended with a shootout loss in Denver to the Avalanche on Thursday night but they managed to secure 13 points in their last 10 game segment going 5-2-3. The Jets banked 2 more points giving them a total of 3 (banked) after being 2 in arrears after segment 1.
In segment 3 we saw the start of a possible platoon system in goal between Pavelec and Hutchinson. We also saw Buff move back to defense with the injuries to Enstrom, Bogosian and Clitsome.
Segment 4
The Winnipeg Jets met the 11 point target BUT let a golden opportunity slip away when they had a chance to sweep a home and home series versus the Minnesota Wild, losing 3-2 at home. They also let a HUGE point (minimum) slip away in a 3-2 loss versus the San Jose Sharks in game 10 of the 4th segment. The Sharks scored the winner with 4 seconds left in the 3rd period.
In segment #4 we saw the emergence of Michael Hutchinson as the potential “#1 goalie”. We also saw forward Evander Kane joining the walking wounded. Overall the Jets have done an admirable job treading water when you consider the injuries to their defensive corp but it doesn’t get any easier for them in January with a brutal stretch of 7 games in 11 nights. This could ultimately be the turning point in their quest for a playoff berth.
The Jets are still playing .500 hockey (20 wins and 20 losses) and hanging in. So far, so good. The formula seems to be accurate for the most part as the Winnipeg Jets were in a playoff position after the 2nd and 3rd and now the 4th segment where they had “just barely” reached the minimum goal of an 11 point average.
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