Random Thoughts: April 25 Audio Version
Mitch Kasprick reviews his weekly “Random Thoughts” on the Winnipeg Jets and the NHL.
Thoughts on the Winnipeg Jets, Manitoba Moose, Winnipeg ICE, and the NHL
Random Thoughts: April 25 Audio Version
Mitch Kasprick reviews his weekly “Random Thoughts” on the Winnipeg Jets and the NHL.
Mitch Kasprick is the “Motown Curmudgeon” aka “Motown Mitch”
Just so there’s no confusion when I’m spewing my bias, I am a fan of the Winnipeg Jets, Arizona Coyotes, Manitoba Moose, Winnipeg Ice, and all Team Canada Hockey teams.
I am NOT a fan of Gary Bettman or as I call him, Count Chocula. I am a big believer in the 7Ps. You’ve been warned.
1. Jets: The Winnipeg Jets finally hit the ice for real in Las Vegas on Sunday afternoon after not playing for 13 days and it showed at times in a sloppy, see-saw, 5-4 overtime win versus the Golden Knights. The Jets record now sits at 15-11-5 and they are 3 points out of the last wildcard position. [Read more…]
Hey Winnipeg Jets fans. It’s your team, you pick it. Everybody has their favourites and their whipping boys so take this opportunity to pick your Jets team for next season.
Winnipeg Jets changes and possible improvements –
I would like to see the Winnipeg Jets start developing more players on their roster and if that means 4th line deployment so be it. Roster blocking young players like David Gustafsson, Ville Heinola, Jansen Harkins, and Kristian Vesalainen for aging veterans like Nate Thompson, Trevor Lewis, and Jordie Benn makes no sense.
Paul Maurice gets criticized for leaning on his aging vets but if Chevy keeps enabling him by signing and/or trading for these types of players Paul Maurice will continue to play them. So, who is really to blame?
To be fair I thought Lewis and Thompson did a pretty decent job on the fourth line BUT did they really move the needle enough and were they difference makers? Hell no.
A fourth line of Gustafsson, Harkins, Vesalainen/Perreault could have probably done the same job while earning valuable experience.
New vision: Coaching
Based on Mark Chipman’s history of loyalty I’ve resigned myself to the fact that the Winnipeg Jets will keep the status quo and Kevin Cheveldayoff and Paul Maurice will be back next season, but how long is their leash? I feel both should be on a short leash but probably more so the coach.
This team is in dire need of a new system. Paul Maurice needs to implement a system that doesn’t revolve around Connor Hellebuyck facing the most high danger chance in the league and having to make 30 plus saves a every night.
The system is problematic. This hybrid man to man system and chasing their check all over the defensive zone looks confusing and it is not working. Too many players have their backs to the puck while following a man who isn’t a threat. Maybe this group can’t execute it, whatever, it is not working.
Paul Maurice’s biggest problem is his infatuation with 35-year-old plugs, he needs to start teaching and trusting the younger players in the organisation. It was a criminal that Ville Heinola and David Gustafsson were in the AHL and Jansen Harkins was used so sparingly.
Today’s young players are different than young players 20 years ago. Some of these kids are already playing prominent roles 2-3 years into the league and a lot of them are NHL ready coming right out of junior or college. Some only need only a half season at the AHL level. Paul Maurice needs to adapt his thinking on the organisation’s youth.
New vision: GM
I’m tend to be harder on the GM than I am on the coach but I will concede that Kevin Cheveldayoff might have one of the hardest jobs in the NHL. Chevy has to contend with no movement clauses, warm weather franchises, and teams that play in States with no State Taxes. Jets fans were clamoring for him to sign UFA Alex Pietrangelo last summer but was there ever a chance he could have lured Alex Pietrangelo to Winnipeg? HELL NO.
Of course I have no idea what goes on behind closed doors but Chevy has to be more pro-active and set his sights on trade targets and latch on to him/them like a dog on a bone. Waiting and hoping for prices to drop around the trade deadline isn’t working. Overpay if need be, especially if you’re getting the man you want.
Winnipeg’s fans are smart enough and will understand that’s the price of doing business in this market. Chevy is a typical Winnipeger, trying to get things wholesale and shopping from the bargain bin. Enough of the Thompsons, Bitettos, Letestus, and Bourques.
Toronto and Montreal signed older veterans players like Jason Spezza, Cory Perry, and Eric Staal but they were front-line players in their prime not career 4th-liners. That kind of veteran depth is acceptable and especially at playoff time.
When it comes to free agency the only way to attract big time free agents is to throw money at them. It doesn’t cost you assets from your roster, it’s only money. Yes, this will be tough with a flat cap but so be it. Figure it out. If you think a player will move the needle on your roster go get him.
This might be perceived as a naive notion but the status quo isn’t working. There isn’t one team that’s ever won a Stanley Cup by just drafting and developing. D and D is a big part of building a championship team along with trades that improve the team using picks and prospect currency then and augmented with significant UFA signings. This is a must and Kevin Cheveldayoff has a marginal grade in his trading and and a losing grade in his UFA acquisitions.
Next season’s roster:
We don’t know who we are protecting and/or losing to Seattle in the expansion draft so let’s just go with what we know now. Same with trade and UFA targets. I’ll throw a couple names out there just for conversation.
Untouchables:
Almost untouchable:
UFA targets:
Trade Targets:
Lose one to Seattle and/or move and reinvest these dollars:
Re-sign:
Bring back:
On the fence:
Drop back and kick:
Thank-you for your service but it is time to play the kids.
Final thought:
After the dust settles and we analyze this Winnipeg Jets team there is still a lot to like. It is far, far from a perfect team but it is definitely fixable.
Paul Maurice needs to adapt and Kevin Cheveldayoff will need to have the best off-season in his tenure as Winnipeg’s GM because next year in the Central Division will be no picnic.
Colorado, St. Louis, and Minnesota will probably be in the top 3 with improving teams like Dallas, Chicago, Nashville, and Arizona knocking on the door as well.
Readers thoughts:
Please fire off the names of some trade targets and UFAs you would like to see here. I listed a couple off the top of my head but there is many more options out there.
Post or reply in the comment section.
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Mitch Kasprick is the “Motown Curmudgeon” aka “Motown Mitch”
Just so there’s no confusion when I’m spewing my bias, I am a fan of the Winnipeg Jets, Arizona Coyotes, Manitoba Moose, Winnipeg Ice, and all Team Canada Hockey teams.
I am NOT a fan of Gary Bettman or as I call him, Count Chocula. I am a big believer in the 7Ps. You’ve been warned.
1. Jets: The Winnipeg Jets won 2 out of 3 home games last week to end their season at 30-23-3. After a horrible stretch of losing the Jets finished their regular season on a semi-positive note winning 3 of their last 5 games. They now head into their first-round playoff match-up versus the heavily favoured Edmonton Oilers and most Jets fans are hoping this isn’t Jets 1.0 all over again.
2. Jets: Well it is playoff time and Jets fans are really hoping to see playoff Pierre-Luc Dubois. I expect PLD and Adam Lowry to be huge factors in this series.
3. Jets: I love watching the IIHF World Championships but having Cole Perfetti on Team Canada makes it even more interesting. CONGRATS COLE!
4. Moose: The Manitoba Moose finished their season going 0-2-1-1 versus Belleville and had their streak of consecutive games gaining points snapped at 13. Their overall record ended up being a solid 18-13-3-2 on the season. This Moose team was a lot of fun to watch this season.
5. Jets: Poll Question: Should Chevy cut a deal with Seattle GM Ron Francis so the Jets don’t lose a player off their roster in the expansion draft? In the 2017 Vegas expansion draft the Jets and Vegas cut a deal where the Golden Knights would select Chris Thorburn’s expiring contract. In the deal they flip-flopped 1st rounders with Winnipeg acquiring the 24th pick (from Vegas, from Columbus) in the 2017 NHL Draft in exchange for the 13th pick in the 2017 NHL Draft, and the Jets third-round selection in 2019.
6. NHL: The Tampa Bay Lightning roster is currently $17,000,000 (approx) over the salary cap but the NHL doesn’t have cap restrictions for the playoffs. Teams always find a loophole and this one looks real bad on the NHL. This will need to be addressed because right now there are a lot of really pissed off GMs.
7. Jets: Special teams are huge come playoff time. The Jets PK looks to be solid but defending against the Oilers PP is a tall order and the best defence against this is to stay out of the penalty box. I have to admit I’m concerned about the Jets PP and the way it has stagnated down the stretch. Hopefully the officials don’t turn this into a special teams battle and we see lots of 5 on 5 hockey.
8. Jets: Kyle Connor has started scoring again and it couldn’t have come at a getter time. The Winnipeg Jets need him scoring because that is his biggest contribution to this team. If he’s not scoring he doesn’t really contribute much else.
9. Jets: I believe this Winnipeg team is better equipped to beat the McDavid Oilers than Jets 1.0 were to beat the Gretzky Oilers. Those Gretzky teams were definitely better than our Jets BUT in spite of Winnipeg’s record against them this season I don’t think this Oilers team is better than our Jets. Of course the Jets will need to be at their best and the coaches will need to implement a winning game plan but I think we can win this series. (see #1)
10. Jets: The line of Mark Scheifele, Kyle Connor, and Blake Wheeler have an opportunity to change the narrative that they are done as a top line. Hopefully a healthy Blake Wheeler can get them playing the way they did a couple of years ago against Nashville.
11. Jets: Right now, to start the playoffs I would prefer seeing Logan Stanley in the 3rd pairing over Tucker Poolman. I’ve been really down on Poolman in the second half of this season. If you’re a regular reader here I’m sure you are aware of that. I haven’t been kind to him.
12. NHL: Key dates.
13. Jets: Is Paul Maurice’s or Kevin Cheveldayoff’s job in jeopardy?
14. Jets: Based on practice pairings ahead of Wednesday’s game one vs Edmonton it looks like the defensive pairings could be:
Morrissey/DeMelo
Forbort/Pionk
Stanley/Benn
15. Jets: Playoff Schedule
1. Wednesday May 19 at Edmonton 8:00 PM
2. Friday May 21 at Edmonton 8:00 PM
3. Sunday May 23 vs Edmonton 6:30 PM
4. Monday May 24 vs Edmonton 8:45 PM
5. Wednesday May 26 at Edmonton TBD (if necessary)
6. Friday May 28 vs Edmonton TBD (if necessary)
7. Sunday May 30 at Edmonton TBD (if necessary)
16. Jets: The biggest question in town is will Nikolaj “don’t call me Nik” Ehlers be dressed for game one? All Jets fans have our fingers crossed because this is a different and much better team with Ehlers in the lineup. Outside of Helle, he might be (he is) our best player.
17. Jets: Special Teams: Rule of thumb. Have the two red numbers (PK and PP) total at least 100% when added (as your minimum). I also base the movement (up or down) on the % and not the NHL ranking.
Final regular season Canadian Division rankings.
18. Jets: It took all season but it looks like Dylan DeMelo will be paired with Josh Morrissey going into the playoffs. They played together down the stretch and looked very comfortable, just like they were last season. I’ve also liked when Paul Maurice has paired Neal Pionk together with Morrissey when they need to push the pace and need offence.
19. Goaltending:
Final regular season stats:
20. Jets: For me, Jordy Benn has been a lot better than expected. He provides a physical presence and moves the puck better than I thought. I wouldn’t be surprised if he starts in game on versus the Oilers. (see #14)
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In memory of my friend Darryl Manchulenko.
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Thanks, Mitch
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